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ACA Health Insurance in 2026: A Look Ahead

You’re not alone in asking: Why does it have to be so hard? Why is it so complex – and so expensive? The truth is, many factors outside of your control (and ours) affect what you pay. 

At Blue Cross and Blue Shield of North Carolina (Blue Cross NC), we know rising health care costs are frustrating – and confusing. Here’s a look at what’s driving changes for individual ACA (Affordable Care Act) plans in 2026 – and what we’re doing to help.

1. Fewer healthy people in the marketplace

When healthier people leave the ACA Marketplace, the people who stay often need more care. That makes costs go up for everyone.

2. Loss of extra help (enhanced premium tax credits expiring)

Since 2021, many people have received extra savings, called enhanced premium tax credits, from the federal government to offset the cost of their ACA health plans. But starting in 2026, those extra savings are going away.  

3. New rules that may affect eligibility

Starting in 2026, new federal regulations may change who qualifies for ACA plans. If fewer healthy people stay in the market, costs could go up for those who remain.

4. Rising medical and prescription costs

Like everything else, health care is getting more expensive. Hospital services, outpatient care, and medications are all seeing steep cost increases. In fact, industry experts project 2025 will bring the highest medical cost growth in over a decade – around 8% year-over-year.

Understanding what's driving costs can help you prepare for what’s ahead – and make confident decisions about your health plan.  

A closer look: where your premium dollar goes

We know you want to understand how your money is being spent—and you deserve transparency. 

At Blue Cross NC, 87 cents of every premium dollar goes directly to your medical care. 

Here’s the full breakdown:

87% of your premium goes to medical expenses. Out of one dollar, that's 87 cents that breaks down to 28 cents for professional services, 26 cents for outpatient services, 18 cents for pharmacy costs, 15 cents for inpatient services. The remaining 13 cents goes toward plan administration and taxes.

By law we must spend at least 80% of your premium on your care. If we don’t, we return the difference to you. That’s called the Medical Loss Ratio (MLR), and it helps ensure you get value—not just coverage.

What we're doing to help

We’re working to build a health care system that works for you — not just for companies. 

  • Putting members first: As a purpose-driven, not-for-profit health insurer that doesn't answer to shareholders, we are doing more than making commitments. We’re making progress to advance care for all North Carolinians. 
  • Improving access to care: We’re making it easier for doctors to join our network and removing outdated rules that block care. 
  • Supporting you when it matters most: Our customer service team is here to help you understand your options and get the care you need. 
  • Helping you save money: We’re simplifying how members navigate their care by giving them tools to make informed, cost-saving decisions. 
  • Listening to our communities: We’re investing in big issues like youth mental health to improve care for all North Carolinians. 
We're here for you

We know change can be hard. But you’re not in this alone. We’ll keep sharing updates as we get closer to 2026. In the meantime, you can: 

Because you deserve care that’s simple, affordable, and built around your needs.

Coming in 2026: Know what to expect. Be ready to act.

Stay tuned this fall for updated plan and premium information when open enrollment begins on November 1, 2025.

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